Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.163600 0.190073 0.219508 0.254677 0.295571 0.341649 0.397546
2025-03-23 0.122843 0.158217 0.201796 0.259486 0.333963 0.427035 0.552449
2025-03-30 0.097744 0.135114 0.184506 0.254680 0.352055 0.482771 0.672234
2025-04-06 0.081615 0.119493 0.172504 0.252286 0.369713 0.536852 0.794031
2025-04-13 0.070564 0.108573 0.164465 0.252889 0.389863 0.594993 0.927488
2025-04-20 0.064541 0.103834 0.164235 0.264183 0.426303 0.680479 1.112302
2025-04-27 0.059125 0.099059 0.162984 0.273184 0.459612 0.764411 1.305017
2025-05-04 0.054306 0.094462 0.161190 0.280669 0.490824 0.848032 1.507436
2025-05-11 0.049281 0.088765 0.156696 0.282707 0.512552 0.917658 1.693961
2025-05-18 0.044289 0.082422 0.150206 0.280184 0.525498 0.972871 1.860876
2025-05-25 0.039173 0.075177 0.141171 0.271735 0.526211 1.005470 1.988924
2025-06-01 0.036753 0.072663 0.140466 0.278732 0.556762 1.096984 2.241923
2025-06-08 0.033717 0.068658 0.136606 0.279403 0.575600 1.169296 2.468745
2025-06-15 0.031490 0.065998 0.135067 0.284558 0.604209 1.264726 2.756813
2025-06-22 0.028470 0.061320 0.128892 0.279284 0.610269 1.314279 2.953090
2025-06-29 0.026050 0.057609 0.124257 0.276655 0.621546 1.375964 3.183981
2025-07-06 0.024178 0.054852 0.121312 0.277317 0.640076 1.455476 3.465790
2025-07-13 0.023411 0.054470 0.123479 0.289718 0.686766 1.603578 3.928162
2025-07-20 0.022496 0.053630 0.124515 0.299602 0.728763 1.745888 4.395850
2025-07-27 0.021525 0.052540 0.124843 0.307822 0.767755 1.885750 4.876481
2025-08-03 0.020244 0.050549 0.122822 0.310060 0.792261 1.993367 5.289487
2025-08-10 0.018777 0.047926 0.118985 0.307290 0.803748 2.069926 5.631533
2025-08-17 0.017086 0.044539 0.112890 0.298010 0.797227 2.099759 5.851990